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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Five-platform snapshot of "Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner 100% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $275K Liquidity: $34K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Game Spread +/-3.5100%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner1%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.51%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.51%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida0%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida. This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

Trade Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli d… on PolyGram

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