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Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska

Five-platform snapshot of "Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Match O/U 21.5 100% Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $149K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Match O/U 21.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 1 Winner100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Match O/U 22.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Match O/U 23.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska0%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set 2 Winner0%
Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of liege: gauthier onclin vs florian broska. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Gauthier Onclin and Florian Broska in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ga…

Methodology

This page reviews Liege: Gauthier Onclin vs Florian Broska across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

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