Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones | 95% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 Winner | 73% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 Winner | 65% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 49% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones. This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bran…
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jones across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →