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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner 100% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic 81% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-1.5 81% Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner 61% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $227K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 Winner100%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic81%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Game Spread +/-1.581%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 Winner61%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.559%
Completed Match50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 22.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 23.542%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Match O/U 21.541%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set Handicap +/-1.51%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, japan open tennis championships, qualification: jaume munar vs aleksandar kovacevic stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 20…

Methodology

This page reviews Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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