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Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.5 77% Completed Match 75% Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 8.5 75% Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 8.5 75% Volume: $343K Liquidity: $317K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.577%
Completed Match75%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 8.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 8.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 8.573%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 3.572%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 9.569%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 38.569%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 36.566%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 9.565%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 9.565%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 40.563%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 9.555%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev53%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 Winner52%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 10.548%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set Handicap +/-1.536%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 4.536%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Set Handicap +/-2.518%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev. This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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