Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of san diego 2: dylan dietrich vs henry searle. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dylan Dietrich and Henry Searle in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page reviews San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade San Diego 2: Dylan Dietrich vs Henry Searle on PolyGram
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