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Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner 100% Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $159K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner100%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien0%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner0%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Match O/U 21.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Match O/U 22.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Match O/U 23.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of laver cup: flavio cobolli vs learner tien. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Learner Tien in the Laver Cup, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page reviews Laver Cup: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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