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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $1.1M Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of mubadala citi dc open: terence atmane vs alejandro tabilo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market …

Methodology

We track Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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