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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Scottie Scheffler 81% S.Y. Noh 50% Kurt Kitayama 44% Tom Kim 44% Volume: $60K Liquidity: $680K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler81%
S.Y. Noh50%
Kurt Kitayama44%
Tom Kim44%
Maverick McNealy43%
Hideki Matsuyama39%
Jackson Koivun36%
Jordan L. Smith32%
Sung-Jae Im31%
Mac Meissner31%
Jake Knapp30%
Ben Kohles30%
Pierceson Coody29%
Jackson Suber28%
Johnny Keefer27%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen27%
Casey Jarvis27%
Keith Mitchell26%
Michael Brennan26%
Brian Harman26%
Corey Conners25%
Gary Woodland25%
Benjamin James25%
Max McGreevy25%
William Mouw24%
Max Homa23%
Sam Stevens23%
Tony Finau22%
Max Greyserman22%
Michael Kim22%
Zac Blair22%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout21%
Kevin Yu21%
Beau Hossler21%
John Parry21%
Lucas Glover21%
Zach Bauchou21%
Ricky Castillo20%
Steven Fisk20%
Keita Nakajima20%
Doug Ghim19%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju19%
Rico Hoey19%
Lee Hodges19%
Davis Thompson18%
Aldrich Potgieter18%
Emiliano Grillo18%
Taylor Pendrith17%
Taylor Moore17%
Andrew Putnam17%
Denny McCarthy17%
Seamus Power17%
Takumi Kanaya17%
Chris Kirk17%
Austin Smotherman17%
Kevin Roy17%
Preston Stout16%
Jesper Svensson16%
Matt Kuchar16%
Joel Dahmen16%
Stephan Jaeger14%
Hao-Tong Li14%
Ze-Cheng Dou14%
Austin Eckroat14%
Brandt Snedeker14%
Mackenzie Hughes13%
Billy Horschel13%
Patrick Fishburn13%
Tom Hoge13%
David Lipsky13%
Thorbjorn Olesen12%
A.J. Ewart12%
Kristoffer Ventura12%
Chad Ramey12%
Karl Vilips12%
Aaron Wise12%
Patrick Rodgers11%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart11%
Garrick Higgo11%
Matthieu Pavon11%
Luke Clanton10%
David Skinns10%
Chandler Phillips10%
Lanto Griffin10%
Ryder Cowan9%
Pontus Nyholm9%
Trace Crowe9%
Adam Hadwin9%
Erik Van Rooyen8%
Nick Dunlap8%
Harry Higgs8%
Mark Hubbard8%
Neal Shipley7%
Vince Whaley7%
Hayden Springer6%
Cameron Champ6%
Jimmy Stanger6%
Gordon Sargent5%
Luke List5%
Jason Day1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to pga tour: 3m open top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 3M Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not anno…

Methodology

This page reviews PGA Tour: 3M Open Top 20 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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