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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Five-platform snapshot of "Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco 14% Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco 12% Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco 10% Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco 10% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco14%
Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco12%
Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco10%
Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco10%
Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco9%
Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco8%
Any Other Score8%
Netherlands 1 - 2 Morocco7%
Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco6%
Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco5%
Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco4%
Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco4%
Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco3%
Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco2%
Netherlands 2 - 3 Morocco2%
Netherlands 0 - 3 Morocco1%
Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco1%

Market context

Market consensus: 14% chance of netherlands vs. morocco - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Morocco, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands…

Methodology

We track Netherlands vs. Morocco - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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