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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Corners: O/U 6.5 86% Total Corners: O/U 7.5 78% Belgium Corners: O/U 2.5 71% Spain Corners: O/U 4.5 70% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Corners: O/U 6.586%
Total Corners: O/U 7.578%
Belgium Corners: O/U 2.571%
Spain Corners: O/U 4.570%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.568%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.565%
Total Corners: O/U 8.564%
Team to Take First Corner60%
Spain Corners: O/U 5.559%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.556%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.551%
Total Corners: Odd or Even50%
Total Corners: O/U 9.549%
Belgium Corners: O/U 3.546%
Spain Corners: O/U 6.543%
Total Corners: O/U 10.539%
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.538%
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.532%
Belgium Corners: O/U 4.529%
Total Corners: O/U 11.528%
Total Corners: O/U 12.519%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, spain vs. belgium - total corners stands at 86% likelihood according to current market consensus. Total corners markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Spain vs. Belgium - Total Corners across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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