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Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Five-platform snapshot of "Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Any Other Score 13% Spain 1 - 0 Belgium 12% Spain 1 - 1 Belgium 12% Spain 2 - 0 Belgium 11% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score13%
Spain 1 - 0 Belgium12%
Spain 1 - 1 Belgium12%
Spain 2 - 0 Belgium11%
Spain 2 - 1 Belgium11%
Spain 0 - 0 Belgium7%
Spain 3 - 0 Belgium7%
Spain 3 - 1 Belgium7%
Spain 0 - 1 Belgium6%
Spain 1 - 2 Belgium5%
Spain 2 - 2 Belgium5%
Spain 3 - 2 Belgium3%
Spain 0 - 2 Belgium2%
Spain 2 - 3 Belgium2%
Spain 0 - 3 Belgium1%
Spain 1 - 3 Belgium1%
Spain 3 - 3 Belgium1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 13% YES probability for Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Spain vs. Belgium match originally sc…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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