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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Player Rampage 59% Any Player Ultra Kill 56% Both Teams Beat Roshan 52% Ends in Daytime 51% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $259K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Rampage59%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Both Teams Beat Roshan52%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)41%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Match Winner33%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Both Teams Beat Roshan28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage25%
Any Player Rampage6%

Market context

Market consensus: 59% chance of dota 2: nigma galaxy vs betboom team (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 7:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports… on PolyGram

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