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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Live odds for "Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 99% First Blood in Game 1? 90% Volume: $1.1M Liquidity: $874K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill99%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?54%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan5%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?3%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: 1win vs vici gaming (bo3) - esports world cup survival stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the Esports World Cup Survival, initially scheduled for July 15 at 10:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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