Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 80% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 26% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 26% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5) | 26% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5) | 20% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 20% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: quazar vs the last resort (bo3) - esl challenger league europe cup #1 group b. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between QUAZAR and The Last Resort in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 12 at 9:00AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ES… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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