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Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5) 100% O/U 2.5 Games 84% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $205K Liquidity: $184K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Wildcard (+3.5)100%
O/U 2.5 Games84%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-3.5) vs K27 (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-6.5) vs K27 (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Wildcard (-9.5) vs K27 (+9.5)50%
Match Winner47%
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)16%
Map 2 Winner14%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-6.5) vs Wildcard (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-9.5) vs Wildcard (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: k27 vs wildcard (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between K27 and Wildcard in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 16 at 6:00AM ET. …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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