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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 62% Match Winner 60% Map 1 Winner 54% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $543K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner62%
Match Winner60%
Map 1 Winner54%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)51%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)43%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)38%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)34%

Market context

Market consensus: 62% chance of counter-strike: furia vs fut esports (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FURIA and FUT Esports in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. …

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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