Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Northwestern O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 70% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| Northwestern O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| O/U 47.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michigan State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Michigan State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1H Moneyline | 49% |
| Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Michigan State O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 51.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 53.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Michigan State 1H O/U 12.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 75.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 13% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of northwestern vs. michigan state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Northwestern and Michigan State, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $306K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%2322d3ee%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Northwestern vs. Michigan State on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →