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Norfolk State vs. Virginia

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Norfolk State vs. Virginia" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Spread -10.5 94% Spread -24.5 94% O/U 34.5 93% Spread -0.5 92% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $253K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Norfolk State vs. Virginia

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -10.594%
Spread -24.594%
O/U 34.593%
Spread -0.592%
Spread -5.592%
O/U 36.591%
Spread -7.590%
Spread -27.590%
O/U 38.589%
Spread -3.587%
Spread -4.587%
O/U 40.587%
Spread -17.586%
Spread -16.585%
Spread -13.581%
Spread -31.581%
O/U 42.581%
Spread -6.580%
Spread -8.579%
Spread -20.577%
Spread -34.577%
O/U 44.577%
Spread -21.573%
O/U 46.573%
Spread -14.572%
Virginia O/U 42.572%
Virginia O/U 43.571%
Virginia O/U 44.569%
O/U 48.567%
Norfolk State O/U 1.565%
O/U 50.563%
Virginia O/U 45.562%
Virginia O/U 46.562%
Virginia O/U 47.561%
O/U 52.559%
1H Spread -23.557%
O/U 53.556%
Spread -43.555%
Virginia O/U 48.555%
Spread -44.554%
3Q Spread -9.554%
O/U 54.553%
Spread -2.553%
1H Spread -24.553%
1H Spread -22.552%
Virginia O/U 2.551%
Spread -1.551%
1H Spread -26.551%
1Q Spread -9.551%
1Q Spread -11.551%
1Q Spread -13.551%
2Q Spread -11.551%
3Q Spread -8.551%
Virginia O/U 49.551%
Norfolk State O/U 0.550%
Norfolk State O/U 1.550%
Norfolk State O/U 2.550%
Norfolk State O/U 3.550%
Virginia O/U 0.550%
Virginia O/U 1.550%
Virginia O/U 3.550%
1H Spread -25.550%
1Q Spread -10.550%
1Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -13.550%
2Q Spread -15.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q Spread -12.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
2Q Spread -16.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
Dylan Cope: Anytime Touchdown50%
Spread -45.550%
Norfolk State 1H O/U 0.550%
Norfolk State 1H O/U 2.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 26.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 28.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 30.550%
1H Spread -28.550%
1Q Spread -14.550%
4Q Spread -10.550%
3Q Spread -10.549%
1H Spread -27.549%
Virginia O/U 50.549%
O/U 55.549%
O/U 56.546%
4Q Spread -7.546%
Virginia O/U 51.546%
2Q Spread -14.545%
2H Moneyline41%
3Q Moneyline41%
4Q Moneyline41%
Norfolk State O/U 4.541%
1Q Moneyline41%
O/U 58.540%
Virginia O/U 52.540%
Virginia O/U 53.540%
Virginia O/U 54.538%
Xavier Brown: Anytime Touchdown37%
O/U 60.535%
Jekail Middlebrook: Anytime Touchdown35%
Beau Pribula: Anytime Touchdown35%
Virginia O/U 55.534%
Virginia O/U 56.528%
O/U 62.527%
O/U 64.525%
Peyton Lewis: Anytime Touchdown25%
Xay Davis: Anytime Touchdown24%
Kameron Courtney: Anytime Touchdown22%
Jacquon Gibson: Anytime Touchdown20%
Norfolk State O/U 7.519%
O/U 66.518%
Dashawn Martin: Anytime Touchdown18%
Dakota Twitty: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 68.516%
O/U 70.513%
Connor Cox: Anytime Touchdown13%
O/U 72.510%
Norfolk State O/U 10.59%
O/U 74.58%
Norfolk State vs. Virginia1%

Market context

Norfolk State vs. Virginia. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 1% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-11T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -10.5 at 94% for "Norfolk State vs. Virginia".

Spread -10.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.

Methodology

This page reviews Norfolk State vs. Virginia across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports