Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Northern Illinois 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Georgia State 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 94% |
| O/U 46.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 90% |
| O/U 52.5 | 87% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 16.5 | 85% |
| O/U 54.5 | 81% |
| O/U 56.5 | 78% |
| Georgia State O/U 27.5 | 77% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| O/U 58.5 | 74% |
| Georgia State O/U 30.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 60.5 | 61% |
| O/U 62.5 | 61% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 64.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| O/U 70.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Georgia State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| O/U 68.5 | 48% |
| Georgia State O/U 33.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| O/U 72.5 | 37% |
| O/U 74.5 | 37% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| O/U 66.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 33% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State | 26% |
| O/U 76.5 | 26% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 22% |
| Spread -24.5 | 22% |
| Spread -23.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -27.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of northern illinois vs. georgia state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Northern Illinois and Georgia State, scheduled for September 26 at 2:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northern Illinois" if North…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $243K.
Methodology
We track Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Northern Illinois vs. Georgia State on PolyGram
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