Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 38.5 | 91% |
| O/U 40.5 | 88% |
| O/U 42.5 | 86% |
| O/U 44.5 | 85% |
| O/U 46.5 | 79% |
| O/U 48.5 | 74% |
| O/U 50.5 | 74% |
| Missouri O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 53% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| Spread -23.5 | 52% |
| O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| Spread -22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| O/U 62.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| Mississippi State O/U 35.5 | 38% |
| 1H Moneyline | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| O/U 64.5 | 36% |
| O/U 68.5 | 36% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| Missouri vs. Mississippi State | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| Spread -11.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -12.5 | 32% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| O/U 66.5 | 28% |
| Mississippi State O/U 38.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 70.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| O/U 74.5 | 22% |
| Spread -19.5 | 19% |
| O/U 72.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 76.5 | 14% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 78.5 | 12% |
| Spread -11.5 | 11% |
| Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
Market context
Market consensus: 91% chance of missouri vs. mississippi state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Mississippi State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the ga…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
We track Missouri vs. Mississippi State across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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