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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN

Comparison of odds and platforms for "BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Vitality 36% Falcons 23% Spirit 21% FURIA 10% Volume: $477K Liquidity: $111K
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BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
36% 64% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
36% 64% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vitality36%
Falcons23%
Spirit21%
FURIA10%
MOUZ7%
Aurora5%
The MongolZ5%
G24%
FUT4%
Astralis3%
FaZe3%
Liquid3%
GamerLegion2%
Nuclear TigeRES2%
magic1%
paiN1%
M801%
Ninjas in Pyjamas1%
Alliance1%
3DMAX1%
EYEBALLERS1%
HEROIC1%
Sharks1%
Nemesis1%
Gentle Mates1%
SINNERS1%
HOTU1%
100 Thieves1%
OG1%
Nemiga1%
Wildcard0%
FOKUS0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, blast bounty 2026 season 2: qualify to lan stands at 36% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bount…

Methodology

This page reviews BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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