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Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 3 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $907K Liquidity: $162K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 4 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 36.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 38.587%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 40.587%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Total Sets: O/U 3.580%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Total Sets: O/U 4.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin51%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set Handicap +/-1.524%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set Handicap +/-2.518%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 4 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 3 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 4 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 4 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: andrey rublev vs roman safiullin. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Roman Safiullin in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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