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US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Game Spread +/-2.5 78% US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 22.5 51% Volume: $129K Liquidity: $386K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Game Spread +/-2.578%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 22.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 21.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 Winner5%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios4%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: daniel rincon vs tomas barrios. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Tomas Barrios in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open, Qualification ATP: Daniel Rincon vs Tomas Barrios across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets