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Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini 0% Volume: $167K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini0%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 Winner0%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 Winner0%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 21.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 22.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Match O/U 23.50%
Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of cordenons: inaki montes vs lorenzo angelini. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Lorenzo Angelini in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page reviews Cordenons: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Angelini across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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