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Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Set 2 Winner 100% Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Match O/U 21.5 100% Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Match O/U 22.5 100% Volume: $101K Liquidity: $68K Closes: 16 Nov 2026
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Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Set 2 Winner100%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Match O/U 21.5100%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Match O/U 22.5100%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Match O/U 23.5100%
Completed Match55%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Game Spread +/-3.550%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri20%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Set 1 Winner0%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to lima: elmer moeller vs genaro alberto olivieri. This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moell…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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