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China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea

Live odds for "China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.5 93% China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.5 87% Completed Match 50% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $335K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.593%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.587%
Completed Match50%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 8.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.550%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner12%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.511%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea7%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to china open, qualification: tomas machac vs arthur gea. This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Arthur Gea in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'To…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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