Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of newport: stefan kozlov vs yibing wu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Kozlov and Yibing Wu in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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