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Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 Winner 100% Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $155K Liquidity: $267K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 Winner100%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Total Sets: O/U 2.590%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 21.575%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 22.575%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich39%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 2 Winner0%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of augsburg: svyatoslav gulin vs martin krumich. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Svyatoslav Gulin and Martin Krumich in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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