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Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic

Five-platform snapshot of "Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic 100% Completed Match 100% Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 2 Winner 100% Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $321K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic100%
Completed Match100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 2 Winner100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Match O/U 21.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Match O/U 22.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Match O/U 23.5100%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 1 Winner0%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to braunschweig: hugo gaston vs mika petkovic. This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Mika Petkovic in the Braunschweig, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo…

Methodology

This page reviews Braunschweig: Hugo Gaston vs Mika Petkovic across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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