Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche | 32% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% |
| Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche. This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Luca Van Assche in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bon…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Assche on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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