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Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5 87% Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 64% Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5 60% Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 55% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $478K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.587%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.564%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.560%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.555%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli53%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner53%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner52%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.548%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.532%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cincinnati open: alexander blockx vs flavio cobolli stands at 87% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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