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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Michael Brennan 78% Beau Hossler 17% Benjamin James 4% Eric Cole 2% Volume: $266K Liquidity: $580K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Brennan78%
Beau Hossler17%
Benjamin James4%
Eric Cole2%
Sung-Jae Im2%
Tom Kim2%
Chris Kirk2%
Maverick McNealy2%
Zach Bauchou1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Bud Cauley1%
Davis Chatfield1%
Trace Crowe1%
Joel Dahmen1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Harry Hall1%
Rico Hoey1%
Tom Hoge1%
Rasmus Hojgaard1%
Billy Horschel1%
Patton Kizzire1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Ben Kohles1%
Jackson Koivun1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Denny McCarthy1%
Matt McCarty1%
Alexander Noren1%
Andrew Novak1%
Thorbjorn Olesen1%
John Parry1%
Marco Penge1%
Chandler Phillips1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kihei Akina0%
Daniel Berger0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Blades Brown0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Luke Clanton0%
Tyler Collet0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Cam Davis0%
Jason Day0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Tony Finau0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Steven Fisk0%
Brice Garnett0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Doug Ghim0%
Lucas Glover0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ben Griffin0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Brian Harman0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Kensei Hirata0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Lee Hodges0%
Cooper Hrabak0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Jeffrey Kang0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Michael Kim0%
Christo Lamprecht0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
David Lipsky0%
Peter Malnati0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Max McGreevy0%
Mac Meissner0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Taylor Moore0%
William Mouw0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Cheng Tsung Pan0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Seamus Power0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Player 00%
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Player 80%
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Player 100%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner prediction market currently prices this outcome at 78% YES. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Wyndham Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Wyndham Championship tournament bas…

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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