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PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner

Comparison of odds and platforms for "PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Scottie Scheffler 11% Rory McIlroy 10% Tommy Fleetwood 6% Matt Fitzpatrick 5% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 11% 89% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 11% 89% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler11%
Rory McIlroy10%
Tommy Fleetwood6%
Matt Fitzpatrick5%
Jon Rahm4%
Xander Schauffele3%
Viktor Hovland3%
Robert MacIntyre3%
Collin Morikawa2%
Chris Gotterup2%
Justin Rose2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Tyrrell Hatton2%
Cameron Young2%
Si Woo Kim2%
Sam Burns2%
Russell Henley2%
Min Woo Lee2%
Joaquin Niemann1%
Tom Kim1%
Patrick Reed1%
Shane Lowry1%
Bryson DeChambeau1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Justin Thomas1%
Aaron Rai1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Jordan Spieth1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Harris English1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Ben Griffin1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Alexander Noren1%
Hao-Tong Li1%
Adam Scott0%
Cameron Smith0%
Corey Conners0%
Brian Harman0%
Victor Perez0%
Michael Thorbjornsen0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
David Puig0%
Max Homa0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Angel Ayora0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Jason Day0%
Sepp Straka0%
Ryan Fox0%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Matt Wallace0%
Tom McKibbin0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Jake Knapp0%
Eric Cole0%
JT Poston0%
Marco Penge0%
Bud Cauley0%
Gary Woodland0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Sahith Theegala0%
Thomas Detry0%
Alex Smalley0%
Harry Hall0%
Daniel Berger0%
Max Greyserman0%
Jayden Schaper0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Michael Kim0%
Lucas Herbert0%
Matt McCarty0%
Nick Taylor0%
Hendrik Du Plessis0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Andrew Novak0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Billy Horschel0%
Daniel Hillier0%
Michael Brennan0%
Jackson Suber0%
Jesper Svensson0%
Bernd Wiesberger0%
Laurie Canter0%
Francesco Molinari0%
Scott Vincent0%
Sami Valimaki0%
Louis Oosthuizen0%
Matthew Jordan0%
John Parry0%
Sam Stevens0%
Daniel Brown0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Market consensus: 11% chance of pga tour: the open championship winner. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 The Open Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the The Open Champ…

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: The Open Championship Winner across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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