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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Five-platform snapshot of "PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Scottie Scheffler 63% Steven Fisk 12% Viktor Hovland 8% Ludvig Aberg 6% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler63%
Steven Fisk12%
Viktor Hovland8%
Ludvig Aberg6%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Sung-Jae Im4%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Brian Harman2%
Jordan Spieth2%
Cameron Young2%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Sam Burns1%
Ricky Castillo1%
Bud Cauley1%
Wyndham Clark1%
Eric Cole1%
Corey Conners1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Harris English1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Matt Fitzpatrick1%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Chris Gotterup1%
Ben Griffin1%
Harry Hall1%
Russell Henley1%
Ryo Hisatsune1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Max Homa1%
Michael Kim1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Shane Lowry1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Matt McCarty1%
Rory McIlroy1%
Maverick McNealy1%
Keith Mitchell1%
Collin Morikawa1%
Alexander Noren1%
JT Poston1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kristoffer Reitan1%
Justin Rose1%
Xander Schauffele1%
Matthias Schmid1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
J.J. Spaun1%
Sam Stevens1%
Sepp Straka1%
Nick Taylor1%
Sahith Theegala1%
Justin Thomas1%
Michael Thorbjornsen1%
Gary Woodland1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju1%
Pierceson Coody0%
Jackson Koivun0%
Robert MacIntyre0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
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Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pga tour: fedex st. jude championship winner stands at 63% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Maya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets WriterandPriya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi Analyst

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