Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Taylor Pendrith | 48% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 46% |
| Blades Brown | 43% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 43% |
| Benjamin James | 41% |
| Rico Hoey | 40% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 38% |
| Beau Hossler | 37% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 37% |
| Kevin Yu | 35% |
| Max McGreevy | 34% |
| Taylor Moore | 33% |
| Austin Eckroat | 31% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 27% |
| Garrick Higgo | 27% |
| Chad Ramey | 25% |
| Thomas Rosenmuller | 25% |
| Vince Whaley | 25% |
| Seamus Power | 24% |
| A.J. Ewart | 24% |
| Joel Dahmen | 23% |
| Manuel Elvira | 22% |
| Romain Langasque | 21% |
| David Skinns | 21% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 20% |
| Jorge Campillo | 20% |
| Paul Waring | 20% |
| Hayden Springer | 20% |
| Kevin Roy | 19% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 19% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 19% |
| Lanto Griffin | 19% |
| Tom Vaillant | 19% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 19% |
| Zach Bauchou | 18% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 18% |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 18% |
| Todd Clements | 18% |
| Adam Hadwin | 18% |
| Danny Willett | 18% |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 18% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 18% |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 18% |
| Chan Kim | 17% |
| Ugo Coussaud | 17% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 17% |
| Brice Garnett | 17% |
| Adam Svensson | 17% |
| Alejandro Tosti | 17% |
| Carson Young | 17% |
| Ricardo Gouveia | 17% |
| Davis Bryant | 17% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 17% |
| Davis Chatfield | 16% |
| Jeremy Paul | 16% |
| Marcus Kinhult | 16% |
| Danny Walker | 16% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 16% |
| Dylan Wu | 15% |
| Tyler Duncan | 15% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 15% |
| Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 15% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 14% |
| Trace Crowe | 14% |
| S.Y. Noh | 14% |
| Aaron Wise | 14% |
| Luke Clanton | 14% |
| Thriston Lawrence | 14% |
| Brandon Stone | 14% |
| David Ravetto | 14% |
| Brandon Robinson-Thompson | 14% |
| Harry Higgs | 14% |
| Paul Peterson | 14% |
| Nick Hardy | 14% |
| Taylor Montgomery | 14% |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | 14% |
| Cameron Champ | 13% |
| Kensei Hirata | 13% |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 13% |
| Joel Girrbach | 13% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 13% |
| Frederik Schott | 12% |
| Ben Martin | 12% |
| John Vanderlaan | 12% |
| Nick Dunlap | 12% |
| Fabian Gomez | 12% |
| Justin Lower | 12% |
| Henry Lebioda | 12% |
| Jens Dantorp | 12% |
| Nacho Elvira | 11% |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 11% |
| Sean Crocker | 11% |
| Marcel Schneider | 11% |
| Marcus Helligkilde | 11% |
| Peter Malnati | 11% |
| Luke List | 11% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 8% |
| Richie Ramsay | 7% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 2% |
| Mark Hubbard | 2% |
Market context
The Corales Puntacana Championship, held annually in the Dominican Republic, forms part of the PGA Tour's regular schedule and typically attracts a field of 132 players competing for a US$4 million purse. The tournament has been staged at Corales Golf Club since 2017 and remains a relatively accessible event for mid-tier professionals seeking FedEx Cup points and world ranking advancement. Top-20 finishes at this venue historically favour players with proven ball-striking consistency on resort-style layouts, where scoring conditions tend to favour aggressive play.
Historical performance data from the championship's seven editions reveals that approximately 60–65% of the field finishes outside the top 20, with the cut typically falling around even par or one-under. The 46% implied probability on this contract sits notably below the baseline expectation for a randomly selected PGA Tour competitor, suggesting either specific player weakness relative to course demands or recent form deterioration. Sportsbook moneyline odds and outright-finish markets at major operators typically price top-20 outcomes at slightly higher probability thresholds for established tour members, indicating potential value divergence worth monitoring.
Traders should track the player's recent finishes at similar Caribbean venues, any announced equipment or swing changes, and official PGA Tour injury reports through June 2026. Weather forecasts released 10 days before tournament play—particularly wind conditions affecting the coastal layout—historically shift scoring expectations by 1–2 strokes. Confirmation of field entry typically occurs 72 hours before the opening round; late withdrawals or sponsor exemptions can alter competitive depth and cut-line projections materially.
Methodology
This page reviews PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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