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PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20

How the prediction-market book is pricing "PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Taylor Pendrith 48% Christiaan Bezuidenhout 46% Blades Brown 43% Stephan Jaeger 43% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $875K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
48% 52% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
48% 52% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Taylor Pendrith48%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout46%
Blades Brown43%
Stephan Jaeger43%
Benjamin James41%
Rico Hoey40%
Mackenzie Hughes38%
Beau Hossler37%
Ze-Cheng Dou37%
Kevin Yu35%
Max McGreevy34%
Taylor Moore33%
Austin Eckroat31%
Jacob Skov Olesen27%
Garrick Higgo27%
Chad Ramey25%
Thomas Rosenmuller25%
Vince Whaley25%
Seamus Power24%
A.J. Ewart24%
Joel Dahmen23%
Manuel Elvira22%
Romain Langasque21%
David Skinns21%
Alejandro Del Rey20%
Jorge Campillo20%
Paul Waring20%
Hayden Springer20%
Kevin Roy19%
Kristoffer Ventura19%
Patrick Fishburn19%
Lanto Griffin19%
Tom Vaillant19%
Jimmy Stanger19%
Zach Bauchou18%
Brandt Snedeker18%
Niklas Norgaard Moller18%
Todd Clements18%
Adam Hadwin18%
Danny Willett18%
Maximilian Steinlechner18%
Pontus Nyholm18%
Rikuya Hoshino18%
Chan Kim17%
Ugo Coussaud17%
Benjamin Silverman17%
Brice Garnett17%
Adam Svensson17%
Alejandro Tosti17%
Carson Young17%
Ricardo Gouveia17%
Davis Bryant17%
Dylan Frittelli17%
Davis Chatfield16%
Jeremy Paul16%
Marcus Kinhult16%
Danny Walker16%
Christo Lamprecht16%
Dylan Wu15%
Tyler Duncan15%
Chandler Blanchet15%
Nicolai Von Dellingshausen15%
Takumi Kanaya14%
Trace Crowe14%
S.Y. Noh14%
Aaron Wise14%
Luke Clanton14%
Thriston Lawrence14%
Brandon Stone14%
David Ravetto14%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson14%
Harry Higgs14%
Paul Peterson14%
Nick Hardy14%
Taylor Montgomery14%
Yuto Katsuragawa14%
Cameron Champ13%
Kensei Hirata13%
Rafael Cabrera Bello13%
Joel Girrbach13%
Jeffrey Kang13%
Frederik Schott12%
Ben Martin12%
John Vanderlaan12%
Nick Dunlap12%
Fabian Gomez12%
Justin Lower12%
Henry Lebioda12%
Jens Dantorp12%
Nacho Elvira11%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat11%
Sean Crocker11%
Marcel Schneider11%
Marcus Helligkilde11%
Peter Malnati11%
Luke List11%
Jonathan Byrd8%
Richie Ramsay7%
Emiliano Grillo2%
Mark Hubbard2%

Market context

The Corales Puntacana Championship, held annually in the Dominican Republic, forms part of the PGA Tour's regular schedule and typically attracts a field of 132 players competing for a US$4 million purse. The tournament has been staged at Corales Golf Club since 2017 and remains a relatively accessible event for mid-tier professionals seeking FedEx Cup points and world ranking advancement. Top-20 finishes at this venue historically favour players with proven ball-striking consistency on resort-style layouts, where scoring conditions tend to favour aggressive play.

Historical performance data from the championship's seven editions reveals that approximately 60–65% of the field finishes outside the top 20, with the cut typically falling around even par or one-under. The 46% implied probability on this contract sits notably below the baseline expectation for a randomly selected PGA Tour competitor, suggesting either specific player weakness relative to course demands or recent form deterioration. Sportsbook moneyline odds and outright-finish markets at major operators typically price top-20 outcomes at slightly higher probability thresholds for established tour members, indicating potential value divergence worth monitoring.

Traders should track the player's recent finishes at similar Caribbean venues, any announced equipment or swing changes, and official PGA Tour injury reports through June 2026. Weather forecasts released 10 days before tournament play—particularly wind conditions affecting the coastal layout—historically shift scoring expectations by 1–2 strokes. Confirmation of field entry typically occurs 72 hours before the opening round; late withdrawals or sponsor exemptions can alter competitive depth and cut-line projections materially.

Methodology

This page reviews PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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