Senegal vs. Iraq - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Senegal and Iraq kicks off at 3 p.m. ET today at BMO Field in Toronto, with the game’s total corner count serving as the settlement metric for the prediction market. This is Iraq’s second World Cup appearance in their history, and their recent defensive fragility contrasts sharply with Senegal’s strong attacking output, particularly after the half-hour mark.

Historically, Iraq’s matches have seen fewer than 10.5 corners in six of their last eight games, and they have conceded first in four of their last five contests, suggesting a lower-corner profile. However, Senegal’s recent form—winning four of their last five with an average of 1.6 points per match and 80% total points over rate—points to a more aggressive, higher-corner game. The current crowd-implied probability of 27% YES for at least nine combined corners aligns more closely with Iraq’s conservative trend than Senegal’s attacking momentum, creating a notable divergence from the sportsbook lines that lean toward 8.5–9.5 total corners.

Traders should monitor Anthony Taylor’s refereeing style, as his tendency for strict foul calls can inflate corner counts, and watch for late tactical shifts from both sides. According to a recent SI.com preview, Senegal is predicted to win 4–1, which would likely push total corners above the 9-mark threshold. With no head-to-head history between the teams, the market remains sensitive to in-game dynamics rather than past performance. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on June 26, 2026, covering regulation, stoppage, and any extra time.

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Methodology

This page reviews Senegal vs. Iraq - Total Corners across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.