Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 65% |
| Map 4 Winner | 62% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Contra (+1.5) | 54% |
| Map 3 Winner | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 51% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-4.5) vs Contra (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-2.5) vs Contra (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Contra (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between BESTIA and Contra in the VCL Latin America Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 27 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BES…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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