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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Live odds for "LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? 80% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 78% Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? 70% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 69% Volume: $512K Liquidity: $662K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?80%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?70%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?69%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?58%
Game 1 Winner53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Game 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)27%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)26%
First Blood in Game 2?26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to lol: thundertalk gaming vs edward gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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