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LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 70% Match Winner 69% O/U 2.5 Games 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 59% Volume: $151K Liquidity: $27K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner70%
Match Winner69%
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors39%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Game 1 Winner31%
Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5)30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Myth Esports meet Dynasty in a best-of-three Road Of Legends regular-season match, and the current crowd price of **39% YES** for Myth sits well below the main prediction-market quote shown elsewhere, where Myth are around **69%** to win the series. That gap suggests either the contract has lagged the broader event-specific market or traders are attaching a materially higher upset chance to Dynasty than the wider crowd is implying.[3]

The historical frame is close to even: the teams have met **six times** and each side has won **three**, which is consistent with a series priced as competitive rather than a clear mismatch.[2] A separate match page also points to a 2-0 or 2-1 result either way rather than a one-sided baseline, reinforcing that pre-match probabilities can swing sharply on roster news or preparation read-throughs rather than on head-to-head history alone.[4]

The main catalysts are simple but important: whether the fixture starts on schedule, whether both line-ups are confirmed, and whether any late cancellation, delay, or forfeit risk emerges before the settlement window closes on 23 July 2026 at 23:00 UTC. The match is listed for 23 July at 1:00 pm ET on Strafe, so traders will be watching for schedule confirmation across stream and event listings as the start time approaches.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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