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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 73% Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5) 56% Game 2 Winner 52% Match Winner 52% Volume: $112K Liquidity: $891K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?73%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)56%
Game 2 Winner52%
Match Winner52%
O/U 2.5 Games52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Game 1 Winner51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?30%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to lol: invictus gaming vs weibo gaming (bo3) - lpl group nirvana. This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for July 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if I…

Methodology

We track LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Gro… on PolyGram

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