Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3

Platform comparison

Market context

SAW’s best-of-three against Esport Academy Copenhagen in Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3 has already been played, and the available match pages show a **2-0 SAW win** rather than an unresolved contest. Sofascore, BO3.gg and Dust2.us all record SAW as the winner, which means the market’s current **100% YES** price is aligned with the realised result rather than a forward-looking live view.[1][2][16]

For context, that kind of unanimity usually appears when one side is treated as a clear favourite and the market is close to fully informed. Polymarket’s own contract page described SAW as the “clear favourite” on recent form and roster experience, while a trader-facing comparison site showed **100%** on SAW across the match winner and several map-handicap variants, suggesting consensus was not only on the outright result but on the margin as well.[8][13] By contrast, one independent forecast page framed EAC as the most likely 2-1 winner and listed a SAW moneyline around 1.68, which is a meaningful outlier versus the crowd pricing, even though the actual scoreline went the other way.[9]

The main catalysts to watch on comparable contracts are late schedule changes, stream or admin delays, and whether a match is officially marked as started before any interruption, because those details can determine whether a result settles normally or falls back to a 50-50 rule. In this case, multiple results pages show the match as finished on 8 August with SAW 2-0 up, so the key dependency is no longer competitive uncertainty but whether the event record remains stable across platforms and whether any correction changes the official outcome feed.[1][10][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.