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Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $241K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle View on Polymarket →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain View on Polymarket →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD View on Polymarket →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR View on Polymarket →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) View on Polymarket →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: Just Players (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-12.5) vs SAW (+12.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.50%

Market context

The underlying event is the CCT Europe Challengers Series 4 lower-bracket round 2 Counter-Strike 2 match between Just Players and SAW, scheduled for 9:45 AM ET on 1 July 2026. Just Players entered the fixture ranked #111 globally with three wins in their last five matches, while SAW held a lower world ranking of #204 and only one win in their recent five-game stretch[1][2]. The match has already concluded with SAW defeating Just Players 2–1, confirming the outcome before the settlement window closes[1].

Historical precedents in lower-bracket CS2 play show that 100% crowd-implied probabilities rarely survive when a clearly weaker-ranked side demonstrates superior map execution, as SAW did here despite their lower ranking[1][2]. Comparable cases from the 2025 CCT Challengers series reveal that 95–100% implied odds on the higher-ranked team often collapse when the lower-ranked side wins the first map, a pattern that repeated in this fixture when SAW secured the opening map before Just Players failed to close the series[1][3].

Traders should monitor official CCT Europe tournament announcements for any schedule changes or disqualifications, though the match result is now final[1]. The primary catalyst was SAW’s ability to overcome their ranking deficit through superior map control, a factor confirmed by post-match statistics showing their 2–1 victory[1]. No further dependencies exist as the outcome is settled, and the prediction market will resolve to "SAW" per the contract terms[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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