Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | View on Polymarket → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | View on Polymarket → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | View on Polymarket → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | View on Polymarket → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | View on Polymarket → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-3.5) vs Honvéd (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-3.5) vs Honvéd (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-6.5) vs Honvéd (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-6.5) vs Honvéd (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Entropy (-1.5) vs Honvéd (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Entropy (-9.5) vs Honvéd (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Entropy Gaming face Honvéd Esports in a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 decider for the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series 5 Group B, a match originally slated for 19 July at 7:00AM ET. The event remains unresolved as of the settlement window, with the prediction market currently implying a 0% chance of an Entropy win, suggesting the crowd views Honvéd as the overwhelming favourite.
Historical data from comparable CCT qualifiers shows that when crowd-implied probabilities dip to 0% for one side in a decider match, the underdog rarely recovers unless the match is cancelled or delayed beyond the seven-day threshold, which triggers a 50-50 resolution. In the 15 July Play-In encounter between these teams, Honvéd secured a 2-1 victory, reinforcing the consensus that their roster depth and tactical discipline outweigh Entropy’s current form [1][4]. This pattern mirrors past Group B deciders where a single dominant team swept the series, making the 0% line a reflection of established performance rather than market inefficiency.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements for any schedule changes or cancellations, as a delay beyond seven days would reset the odds to 50-50. Strafe Esports users have already voted 92.7% in favour of Honvéd, aligning with the prediction market’s implied probability and suggesting minimal divergence between community sentiment and sportsbook lines [3]. No recent news indicates roster changes or match postponements, so the current 0% probability is likely to hold unless the event is officially voided.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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