Prediction markets centred on golf majors draw together a diverse participant base: dedicated golf analysts, quantitative researchers employing strokes-gained methodologies, and algorithmic traders who view major championships as liquid, well-defined events with comprehensive historical records and transparent outcome criteria.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (check PolyGram for next year)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live pricing from PolyGram markets (May 2026):
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Ranked first globally, commanding form throughout 2025-26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Major champion with proven reliability
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Seeking US Open success, excellent mid-iron execution
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional stroke-making aligns with US Open demands
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with extended irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Informed traders can identify several potential advantages in major championship markets:
- Venue-specific patterns: Certain competitors display consistent performance divergence across different championship courses
- Strokes gained data: Approach-shot proficiency and similar metrics demonstrate predictive value for major outcomes — compare player rankings across analogous course conditions
- Draw scheduling effects: Starting times and weather forecasts introduce systematic opportunities based on wind direction and atmospheric shifts
- Form recency bias: Market pricing occasionally overemphasises recent tournaments relative to established major championship track records
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Settlement occurs Sunday evening following the concluding round, typically within 24 hours of the winner's confirmation via PGA Tour and R&A official announcements.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes odds continuously throughout major rounds. Winner odds fluctuate dynamically as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Yes — PolyGram offers individual player cut-line markets for major events, enabling granular trading on whether each competitor advances past the cut.